With the monthly publication “Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics” we pick up on current developments that have a significant impact on the economy and capital markets in order to derive trading recommendations for our investors using realistic models.
The quarterly “Quartely Economic Outlook and Financial Markets ” intensifies our market opinion and analyzes detailed facts and developments on the most important asset classes. We also provide an insight into our allocation models there.
|02.05.2023||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Quarterly Economic Outlook and Financial Markets - April 2023 |
At the end of the first quarter of 2023, Dr. Michael Heise analyzes the stability of the financial markets following the problems of American regional banks and the emergency takeover of Credit Suisse. He also examines the state of the global economy and provides an outlook for growth prospects in the developed economies.
|29.03.2023||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: A new banking crisis? |
Will the financial stress triggered by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank remain temporary and limited - or will the situation come to a head and become a systemic crisis? Even days after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) in the U.S., there is no consensus among financial market experts as to whether the turbulence it has triggered on the global financial markets will soon end or whether it could grow into a systemic crisis.
|02.03.2023||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Economy in upheaval - 5 conclusions for German medium-sized companies |
What does the reality of the recent crisis mean for German medium-sized companies? What conclusions should companies draw from the current developments surrounding Covid, the Ukraine war and inflation? Inflation, energy problems, rising interest rates: the past year has demanded a lot from consumers. Which problems will remain with us, where are solutions emerging.
|09.01.2023||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Five theories for 2023 |
High inflation, energy problems, rising interest rates: the past year has demanded a lot from consumers. Which problems will remain, and where are solutions emerging? Five theories for the year 2023
|22.12.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Quarterly Economic Outlook and Financial Markets, December 2022 |
In this publication, Dr. Michael Heise analyzes the economic situation based on current data and provides an outlook on trends for 2023. In this context, he also looks back on the trends in 2022, which was characterized by new challenges and uncertainties.
|24.11.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: The need for a new position agenda |
The German economy has run into rough waters: The Ukraine war and energy crisis have exacerbated existing problems - and prompted policymakers to focus primarily on current issues. However, inactivity in location policy is just as risky.
|23.09.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Were the Russia sanctions a mistake? |
At first glance, the results of the Russia sanctions are sobering. There is no sign of even a rudimentary relenting in the war against Ukraine. he energy price shock, on the other hand, has had a severe impact on the economies of Europe. Were the sanctions a mistake?
|14.07.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: New approach for the business location Germany |
Germany is on the verge of recession. Consumers' purchasing power is suffering from the surge in inflation triggered by the rise in energy and food prices, which has now spread to many other groups of goods. As long as the Ukraine war and the sanc-tions against Russia continue, and unfortunately there is no end in sight, the energy markets will remain tense.
|14.06.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Ukraine War and Covid |
The Ukraine war is a humanitarian low point and a geopolitical watershed that will result in fundamental changes in the world order. New patterns of division of labor will emerge for the economy. Political risks have increased for companies and investors.
|06.04.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Turning point of the Inflation |
An almost global increase in consumer prices will make 2022 very unpleasant for consumers in many countries. Here in Germany and in the EMU, consumer prices are already more than 7% higher than in the previous year and threaten to rise further
|28.02.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Ukraine Crisis |
The Russian attack on Ukraine will have far-reaching global political and economic implications. It has already fundamentally changed the security architecture in Europe. Further developments will depend on the outcome of the current crisis.
|26.01.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Monetary Policy and Interest Rates - 2022 |
With the long underestimated and virtually global rise in inflation in recent months, central banks have come under pressure to exit their expansionary monetary policies soon. For investors, the question arises as to how consistently the central banks will take action, what this means for the economy and whether significant setbacks on the capital markets are to be expected?
|15.01.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: The Economy Matters!|
The new coalition government started out with the goal of modernizing Germany and daring to make more progress. Dr. Michael Heise explains why the right economic policy plays a very important role in achieving these ambitious goals.
|06.12.2021||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: China - Buying Opportunity or Time to Pull the Ripcord?|
China's stock market has been lagging the global market for some time, and the riskier bond markets have also given investors little pleasure of late. Investors are asking themselves whether the time has come again for an entry - or whether they would be better off giving the country a wide berth for the long term.
Quarterly Economic Outlook and Financial Markets
|05.05.2022||Dr. Michael Heise on Global Economics: Quarterly Economic Outlook and Financial Markets, Mai 2022 |
Global economy shifts down a gear: The recovery of the global economy, which characterized 2021, stalled at the beginning of the year. In addition to corona restrictions still in place in many places, high price level increases due to rising energy and raw material prices weakened private consumption.